The goal of my research is to understand the temporal and spatial dynamics of the spread of infectious diseases in order to inform interventions to control their spread. My research includes analyses of spatial-temporal patterns of infectious disease spread and theoretical approaches to simulate the spread of pathogens in populations. I am specifically interested in the dynamics of dengue hemorrhagic fever, influenza, and measles.

infectious disease dynamics, international health, emerging infectious diseases, dengue, influenza, measles, smallpox

Burroughs Wellcome Career Award at the Scientific Interface

Lessler, J., Reich, N.G., Brookmeyer, R., Perl, T.M., Nelson, K.E., Cummings, D.A.T. A Systematic Review of the Incubation Periods of Acute Respiratory Viral Infections. Lancet Infectious Diseases. accepted.

Epstein JM, Parker J, Cummings D, Hammond RA. Coupled contagion dynamics of fear and disease: mathematical and computational explorations. PLoS ONE. 2008;3(12):e3955. Epub 2008 Dec 16.

Halloran, M.E., Ferguson N.M., Eubank, S., Longini, I.M., Cummings, D.A.T., Lewis, B., Xu, S., Fraser, C., Vullikanti, A., Germann, T.C., Wagener, D., Beckman, R., Kadau, K., Barrett, C., Macken, C., Burke, D.S., Cooley, P. Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2008. 105(12):4639-4644.

Vora A, Burke DS, Cummings DAT. The impact of a physical geographic barrier on the dynamics of measles. Epidemiology and Infection. 2008. 136(5):713-720.

Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Fishman S, Vora A, Burke DS. Transmissibility of Swine Flu at Fort Dix, 1976. Journal of the Royal Society Interfaces. 2007. 4(15): 755-762.

Billings L, Schwartz IB, Shaw LB, McCrary M, Burke DS, Cummings DAT. Instabilities in multiserotype disease models with antibody dependent enhancement. J Theor Biol. 2007. May 7. 246(1):18-27.

Ferguson NM, Cummings DAT, Fraser C, Cajka JC, Cooley PC, Burke DS. Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic. Nature. 2006 Jul 27;442(7101):448-52

Burke DS, Epstein JM, Cummings DAT, Parker JI, Cline KC, Singa RM, Chakravarty S. Individual-based computational modeling of smallpox epidemic control strategies. Acad Emerg Med. 2006 Nov;13(11):1142-9.

Longini IM, Halloran EM, Nizam A, Yang Y, Xu S, Burke DS, Cummings DAT, Epstein JM. Containing a large bioterrorist smallpox attack: a computer simulation approach. Int. J. Infect. Dis. 2006. Epub Aug. 8.

Cummings DAT, Moss WJ, Long K, Muluh T, Wiysonge CS, Muluh TJ, Kollo B, Nomo E, Wolfe ND and Burke DS. Improved measles surveillance in Cameroon reveals two major dynamic patterns of incidence. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2006. 10(2) 148-155.

Schwartz IB, Shaw LB, Cummings DAT, Billings L, McCrary M, and Burke DS. Chaotic desynchronization of multistrain diseases. Physical Review E. 72, 066201. (2005)

Cummings DAT, Schwartz IB, Billings L, Shaw LB, Burke DS. Dynamic effects of antibody-dependent enhancement on the fitness of viruses. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2005. 102(42):15259-64.

Ferguson NM, Cummings DAT, Cauchemez S, Fraser C, Riley S, Meeyai A, Iamsirithaworn S, Burke DS. Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia. Nature. 2005. 437(7056):209-214.

Longini IM, Jr., Nizam A, Xu S, Ungchusak K, Hanshaoworakul W, Cummings DAT, Halloran ME. Containing pandemic influenza at the source. Science. 2005. 309; (5737):1083-7.

Cummings DAT, Irizarry RA, Huang NE, Endy TP, Nisalak A, Ungchusak K, Burke DS (2004) Travelling waves in the occurrence of dengue haemorrhagic fever in Thailand. Nature 427 (6972): 344-347.

Epstein JM, Cummings DAT, Chakravarthy S, Singa RM, Burke DS (2004) Toward a containment strategy for smallpox bioterror: An individual based computational approach. Brookings Monographs.